对冲基金经理技能研判

对冲基金的一个共同特征是对基金经理技能的高度依赖性。对冲基金历史收益分布不服从传统分析中的正态分布 ,其形态具有明显的偏度和宽尾。用d比值定义对冲基金经理的技能 ,并使用赫斯特指数通过对对冲基金收益的趋势分析 ,能帮助判断经理技能的稳定性。这种方法对分析迅速变换策略的各种投资基金的真实投资价值具有前瞻性的提示。     

中国与泰国加强经贸合作政策协调问题研究

在中国-东盟自由贸易区建设中,中国和泰国的经贸关系非常重要。如果能以世界贸易组织的规则为指导,在货物和服务贸易、相互投资等领域搞好中国和泰国之间的政策协调,将有力地促进双边的经贸合作,有力地推动中国-东盟自由贸易区建设及澜沧江湄公河次区域合作。     

Negotiating for Money: Adding a Dose of Reality to Classroom Negotiations

Negotiation and conflict management courses have become increasingly common in business schools around the world. Frequently, these courses employ role plays and simulations to encourage students to try new strategies, tactics, techniques, and behaviors. While these simulations generally are designed to elicit realistic negotiation dynamics, they often lack the full emotional tension inherent in actual negotiations. One possible reason for this reduced tension is that no tangible resources, such as money, are at stake. This article describes an experiment in which MBA students paid a player's fee at the beginning of a negotiation course, and in which each negotiation exercise had an actual dollar value at risk. The article reports some results from this experiment and offers suggestions for instructors who might seek to add a player's fee to their own courses. In general, most students found the experience valuable, as it provided performance benchmarks while focusing their attention more sharply on risks and returns.     

Hostage-Taking in the Context of Domestic Violence: Some Case Examples

Initial reports of domestic violence are generally made to law enforcement officers who must respond and intervene. A subset of these episodes involves cases in which the victim, and, in many instances her child(ren), have been taken hostage by her husband or partner. Moreover, there are indications that the number of such incidents is growing. The purpose of this project was twofold: (1) to provide one of the first reports on the prevalence and characteristics of these events, and (2) to more closely analyze domestic crisis (hostage) situations using actual case examples. All information was obtained from the Hostage Barricade Database System (HOBAS) of the FBIs Crisis Negotiation Unit. HOBAS is a postincident information collection tool which stores historical data from law enforcement agencies across the nation on hostage/barricade incidents. An examination of this database yielded different types of domestic hostage-taking acts and outcomes (e.g., tactical vs. negotiated resolutions, survival vs. death/injury of perpetrator and/or victim[s]). Implications of the findings, for future crisis negotiation efforts directed toward nonviolent resolution of these high-risk critical incidents, are discussed.     

论社会歧视的社会心理根源及其消除方式--社会心理学视野下的社会歧视

社会歧视是指针对某一特殊社会群体的不公平、不合理、排斥性的社会行为或制度安排.从社会心理学看,这是由社会偏见这样一种不公正的、具有否定性和排斥性倾向的社会态度所导致的,属于一种刻板印象.但社会偏见并不一定导致社会歧视,实现这种转变与被歧视者自身力量相对弱小、"谈判力"不足相关.要减少或消除社会歧视,一方面必须壮大被歧视者的力量,增强其"谈判力",阻止已有的偏见向歧视的转化;另一方面通过被歧视者的努力,加强沟通来改变固有的刻板印象并防止新的刻板印象的产生.     

人质危机事件战术性谈判处置模式研究

劫持人质事件中警队谈判组与攻击单位是处置的核心力量,现场规范架构中谈判小组与攻击单位的配合是处置的关键所在,在和平谈判无望或情况危机时,谈判小组通过及时转入战术性谈判来提供准确情报与引导攻击行动,在保障多方安全的同时可提高攻击效率,最大可能减少伤亡与降低事件处置成本。     

社会主义法治理念：一种知识形态的考察

亚里士多德把人类的知识划分成三种类型：理论知识、实用知识、制造知识。三者对应于后来所说的纯粹理性、实践理性、技艺。按照这样的知识分类,社会主义法治理念既具有实践理性的属性,也具有技艺的属性,但是,它在通常情况下,并不具有纯粹理性的属性。社会主义法治理念的这种知识属性,有助于辨析当代中国法律人的社会角色及其类型。     

交际有术和谐共振——简析奥普拉·温弗瑞在迈克尔·杰克逊专访中的采访技巧

合作访谈的最高境界就是在采访者与被采访者之间产生和谐共振,而要实现这种高层次沟通交流,达到采访目的,交际术的运用是非常重要的。美国著名节目主持人奥普拉·温弗瑞于1993年成功地对十多年来长期排斥采访的世界顶尖级音乐巨星迈克尔·杰克逊进行了90分钟的专访,成为合作访谈的优秀范例。     

Ink Blossoms Renowned painter Guo Shifu soars to new heights in the traditional arts

正Guo Shifu was born in 1945 in Beijing.A member of the China Artists Association and an art commissioner with the Beijing Fine Art Academy,Guo is also the founder of Beijing’s first painters’association,which has since been renamed the Beijing Society for Bird-and-Flower Paintings.Guo is proficient in traditional painting,calligraphy,seal cutting,poetry and Western artistic techniques.The Ministry of Culture has listed Guo as one of the masters of contemporary Chinese art.     

浅谈公安民警射击技能训练的构思

维护社会治安,保障公共安全,预防控制犯罪,打击敌对势力和各种犯罪活动是公安队伍的基本职能。多年来,许多公安民警在打击和制止各种犯罪行为的斗争中流血牺牲,充分体现了他们对党和人民的忠诚和无私无畏的精神。同时,我们也应该认识到,有些伤亡原本是可以避免的。